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Prospect Watch: Wang Cong — The Joker Before the Belt
A former sanda world champion who once beat Valentina Shevchenko at kickboxing, Wang Cong meets Natalia Silva for the vacant flyweight title at UFC 332. Six UFC fights in, nobody in the division out-lands opponents by a wider margin.
Read Full Analysis8,362
Fights Analyzed
615K
Strikes Tracked
28
Years of Data
37.56%
Takedown Rate
Fight Forecast · 2026 season
59–24Record
71%Win rate
+62%Return
$16,203Bankrollfrom $10,000 · Jan 1
Every pick public and pre-committed — paper-traded at real opening lines. Not betting advice. 21+.
See This Week's PicksThis week's card
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
· 11 bouts as booked · Full card, stats & tale of the tape →
- MainRaul Rosas Jr.VSRaoni Barcelos
- Co-mainRodolfo VieiraVSRobert Bryczek
- Bout 9Mehemmedeli OsmanliVSIlimbek Akylbek
- Bout 8Melissa AmayaVSTina Black
- Bout 7Brady HiestandVSRinya Nakamura
- Bout 6Rodolfo BellatoVSChristian Edwards
- Bout 5Elves BrenerVSJosiah Harrell
- Bout 4Montel JacksonVSRicky Simon
- Bout 3Norma DumontVSAilin Perez
- Bout 2John CastanedaVSAlatengheili
- Bout 1Vanessa DemopoulosVSYazmin Jauregui
Bout order as booked. Linked names open the fighter's career stats and UFC fight history.
Latest Analysis
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Published
Prospect Watch
Prospect Watch: Wang Cong — The Joker Before the Belt
A former sanda world champion who once beat Valentina Shevchenko at kickboxing, Wang Cong meets Natalia Silva for the vacant flyweight title at UFC 332. Six UFC fights in, nobody in the division out-lands opponents by a wider margin.
2026-09-226 min read
Published
Analysis
The UFC Record Book, Verified From 8,900+ Fights
Islam Makhachev's win streak passed Anderson Silva's in August 2026. Jorge Masvidal's five-second knockout still stands. We rebuilt the UFC record book from every UFCStats bout since UFC 1, wrote down the rule behind each mark, and flagged every place the official book counts differently.
2026-09-2210 min read
Published
Fighter Profile
Volkanovski at 38: Can a UFC Champion Beat the Age Curve?
Alexander Volkanovski turns 38 on September 29 and defends the featherweight title against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333 on October 24. Fighters that age have won 48 of 125 decisive UFC five-round fights, and none at featherweight. We pulled all 18 of his UFC fights to see what the age curve has taken from him — and what it hasn't.
2026-09-229 min read
Published
Analysis
Who Has the Best Chin in UFC?
Only 92 of the 632 fighters with ten or more UFC bouts have never been knocked down. Jon Jones tops that list by longevity, Pedro Munhoz by punishment survived. We rank the best chins in the UFC, the most fragile, and the division where knockdowns are rarest — using the same Chin Index as before.
2026-09-229 min read
Published
Fighter Profile
The Refinement: Islam Makhachev vs. the Khabib Standard
They are the same size, from the same gym, with the same wrestling base — 5'10", 70-inch reach, both of them. Khabib Nurmagomedov is the most destructive top-position fighter in UFC history. Islam Makhachev controls nearly as much of the fight and lands a fifth as many ground strikes. We pulled every round both men have fought to work out whether that's a downgrade or a redesign.
2026-08-109 min read
Published
Predictions
Inside the Model: How We're Beating UFC Betting Markets
Anyone can pick winners on a hot streak. We wanted to know if a model could do it on purpose. So we built one, set a hard discipline bar, staked every call, and tracked the bankroll in public. Here's how the system works, where the real edge is, and what it's actually returned.
2026-06-2211 min read
This week’s free play
One pick from every card, free, straight to your inbox — released at the same time as the paid slate, never after.
The free play is always our highest-confidence pick that has no market edge — a fighter the market already prices correctly. Value Bets, the picks that carry the edge, stay with the paid slate. No free play on a one-pick card.
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thefightalgorithmData-Driven MMA
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thefightalgorithm⚔️ Raul Rosas Jr. meets Raoni Barcelos at bantamweight in the UFC Fight Night main event on Saturday (Sep 26). Barcelos has five UFC knockdowns and 51.7% striking accuracy across 15 fights; @raulrosasjr has matched his career takedown total in less than half the bouts. @raonibarcelos_ufc #TheFightAlgorithm #UFCFightNight #RosasJrVsBarcelos #Bantamweight #UFCStats
Sep 26, 2026
thefightalgorithmData-Driven MMA
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thefightalgorithm🪨 Who has the best chin in UFC history? Jon Jones (@jonnybones): 24 UFC fights, 0 knockdowns; Pedro Munhoz (@pedromunhozmma): 1,153 significant head strikes absorbed, never knocked down. Full breakdown — link in bio. #TheFightAlgorithm #JonJones #PedroMunhoz #BestChin #MMAStats
Sep 24, 2026
thefightalgorithmData-Driven MMA
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thefightalgorithm🔒 The model scored 8 bouts on UFC Fight Night (Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, Sat Sep 26) and two cleared our 68% bar. Three more it never priced at all. Before the card we publish a SHA-256 hash of every bout the model scored; after the fights we release the key and the full board, so anyone can recompute it. Receipts first. #TheFightAlgorithm #UFCFightNight #SlateLocked #ModelPicks #BettingModel #ClosingLineValue #FightAnalytics
Sep 26, 2026