All Analysis

In-depth data-driven analysis of MMA fighters, fights, and trends.

Published articles

Wang Cong celebrating in the Octagon after beating Tracy Cortez at UFC 329
Published
Prospect Watch

Prospect Watch: Wang Cong — The Joker Before the Belt

A former sanda world champion who once beat Valentina Shevchenko at kickboxing, Wang Cong meets Natalia Silva for the vacant flyweight title at UFC 332. Six UFC fights in, nobody in the division out-lands opponents by a wider margin.

2026-09-226 min read
The UFC Record Book — a ledger of UFC records with a stopwatch dial, in red, amber and blue
Published
Analysis

The UFC Record Book, Verified From 8,900+ Fights

Islam Makhachev's win streak passed Anderson Silva's in August 2026. Jorge Masvidal's five-second knockout still stands. We rebuilt the UFC record book from every UFCStats bout since UFC 1, wrote down the rule behind each mark, and flagged every place the official book counts differently.

2026-09-2210 min read
Alexander Volkanovski embraced by Diego Lopes in the Octagon after their UFC 325 title rematch in Sydney
Published
Fighter Profile

Volkanovski at 38: Can a UFC Champion Beat the Age Curve?

Alexander Volkanovski turns 38 on September 29 and defends the featherweight title against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333 on October 24. Fighters that age have won 48 of 125 decisive UFC five-round fights, and none at featherweight. We pulled all 18 of his UFC fights to see what the age curve has taken from him — and what it hasn't.

2026-09-229 min read
Jon Jones kicks Daniel Cormier at UFC 182 with his right glove guarding his chin
Published
Analysis

Who Has the Best Chin in UFC?

Only 92 of the 632 fighters with ten or more UFC bouts have never been knocked down. Jon Jones tops that list by longevity, Pedro Munhoz by punishment survived. We rank the best chins in the UFC, the most fragile, and the division where knockdowns are rarest — using the same Chin Index as before.

2026-09-229 min read
The Refinement Article Thumbnail
Published
Fighter Profile

The Refinement: Islam Makhachev vs. the Khabib Standard

They are the same size, from the same gym, with the same wrestling base — 5'10", 70-inch reach, both of them. Khabib Nurmagomedov is the most destructive top-position fighter in UFC history. Islam Makhachev controls nearly as much of the fight and lands a fifth as many ground strikes. We pulled every round both men have fought to work out whether that's a downgrade or a redesign.

2026-08-109 min read
Inside the Model Article Thumbnail
Published
Predictions

Inside the Model: How We're Beating UFC Betting Markets

Anyone can pick winners on a hot streak. We wanted to know if a model could do it on purpose. So we built one, set a hard discipline bar, staked every call, and tracked the bankroll in public. Here's how the system works, where the real edge is, and what it's actually returned.

2026-06-2211 min read
El Matador: Ilia Topuria Profile
Published
Fighter Profile

El Matador: Inside Ilia Topuria's 9-0 Two-Division Run

Max Holloway had never been knocked out in 29 UFC fights. Ilia Topuria did it in three rounds. Volkanovski had been finished once in 15. Oliveira four times in 34. We pulled every strike Topuria has thrown in the Octagon — the precision-power combo behind his 9-0 record is rarer than the headline numbers suggest.

2026-05-239 min read
The Notorious Arc: Conor McGregor Legend Files
Published
Legend Files

The Notorious Arc: Conor McGregor's Peak and Decline

Thirteen seconds against Aldo. Two divisions in two years. Then nine minutes against Khabib, a broken tibia against Poirier, and almost five years of silence. We pulled every strike of Conor McGregor's UFC career — the peak was as real as the decline, and the number that captures both is a 17-strike swing nobody can talk their way out of.

2026-05-2311 min read
The Chin Index — Knockdowns Absorbed per UFC Fight
Published
Analysis

The Chin Index: Who Falls, Who Doesn't, and Why

Jon Jones has 24 UFC fights and zero knockdowns absorbed. Thomas Almeida has 10 and eight. We built the Chin Index to measure defensive durability — and found that the metric predicts who gets finished by strikes with a 0.59 correlation.

2026-05-2211 min read
Prospect Watch: Quillan Salkilld — The Bonus Machine
Published
Prospect Watch

Prospect Watch: Quillan Salkilld — The Bonus Machine

Five UFC fights, four Performance of the Night bonuses, four of five wins inside Round 1. The data behind Quillan Salkilld's first 15 months in the lightweight division.

2026-05-165 min read
The Mighty Mouse Article Thumbnail
Published
Legend Files

The Smallest Giant: How Mighty Mouse Won 2,142 Days at the Top

Demetrious Johnson defended the UFC flyweight title 11 times in five years. He was the shortest male champion in UFC history — and the reason he won wasn't size disadvantage. We dissected every round of the reign.

2026-05-0811 min read
Judging Is Broken Article Thumbnail
Published
Opinion

Judging Is Broken: The 10-Point System Has Three Settings

Marlon Vera lost the strike count 159–271 against Rob Font and won 30-27 on every card. We analyzed every UFC judge-round since 2015 — 24,528 of them — and the data shows the 10-point system has degraded into a binary toggle.

2026-04-2710 min read
The Pace Monster Article Thumbnail
Published
Fighter Profile

The Pace Monster: How Joshua Van Broke UFC's Volume Ceiling

Max Holloway lands 6.91 significant strikes per minute. Joshua Van lands 8.84 — the highest rate in UFC history. We broke down the 24-year-old flyweight champion's numbers.

2026-04-169 min read
Countries and the UFC Article Thumbnail
Published
Analysis

Who Actually Runs the UFC: What Country Wins the Most?

USA has the most UFC fighters and the most champions. That's the obvious part. The interesting part: Brazil beats the USA head-to-head 447-385, Russia crushes everyone, and a country of 3.7 million produces more champions per capita than anyone else.

2026-04-1112 min read
The Invisible Round Article Thumbnail
Published
Analysis

The Invisible Round: Does Control Time Actually Win Fights?

Khabib averaged 7:17 of control per fight and never lost. Uriah Hall won a decision with 0:25 vs 10:42. We analyzed every decision in UFC history to find when control time matters — and when judges ignore it entirely.

2026-04-0214 min read
Built Different Article Thumbnail
Published
Analysis

Built Different: What 2,017 UFC Physiques Reveal About Winning

We measured the height, reach, stance, and age of 2,017 UFC fighters and cross-referenced it with their fight records. The data reveals exactly how much your body matters — and when it stops mattering.

2026-03-2316 min read
Division Meta Article Thumbnail
Published
Analysis

Division Meta: How Every UFC Weight Class Fights

Heavyweights finish 51.5% by KO and land 14 strikes per round. Women's Flyweight throws 19.1 per round and goes to decision 63% of the time. Every division has a statistical identity.

2026-03-189 min read
The Knockout Artist Article Thumbnail
Published
Analysis

The Knockout Artist: What 2,792 KOs Reveal About Power

Derrick Lewis wins with 16 strikes per fight. Max Holloway needs 126. We analyzed every KO in UFC history to find what separates the one-punch finisher from the accumulation knockout.

2026-03-1211 min read
The Volume Machine Article Thumbnail
Published
Analysis

The Volume Machine: What 3,907 Strikes Tell Us About Output

Some fighters land 50 strikes per fight. Max Holloway lands 126. We analyzed every strike in UFC history to find what separates volume strikers from everyone else.

2026-03-0310 min read
The Finish Line Article Thumbnail
Published
Analysis

How Fights End: The Science of the Stoppage

KO/TKO, submission, or decision? Analysis of 8,000+ UFC fights reveals how the art of finishing has evolved—and why the 'decision era' narrative misses the bigger picture.

2026-02-288 min read
Where Fights Are Won Article Thumbnail
Published
Analysis

Where Fights Are Won: The Battle for Position

From ground-and-pound dominance to distance striking supremacy—how 631,347 strikes across three decades reveal the complete transformation of MMA combat.

2026-02-2512 min read
Fatigue Factor Article Thumbnail
Published
Analysis

The Fatigue Factor: Do Fighters Really Slow Down?

Analyzing 40,210 rounds of UFC data reveals a surprising truth about fighter performance across rounds. The conventional wisdom about fatigue might be completely wrong.

2026-02-235 min read